Package: ensembleBMA 5.1.8

Chris Fraley

ensembleBMA: Probabilistic Forecasting using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging

Bayesian Model Averaging to create probabilistic forecasts from ensemble forecasts and weather observations <https://stat.uw.edu/sites/default/files/files/reports/2007/tr516.pdf>.

Authors:Chris Fraley, Adrian E. Raftery, J. McLean Sloughter, Tilmann Gneiting, University of Washington.

ensembleBMA_5.1.8.tar.gz
ensembleBMA_5.1.8.tar.gz(r-4.5-noble)ensembleBMA_5.1.8.tar.gz(r-4.4-noble)
ensembleBMA_5.1.8.tgz(r-4.4-emscripten)ensembleBMA_5.1.8.tgz(r-4.3-emscripten)
ensembleBMA.pdf |ensembleBMA.html✨
ensembleBMA/json (API)

# Install 'ensembleBMA' in R:
install.packages('ensembleBMA', repos = c('https://cran.r-universe.dev', 'https://cloud.r-project.org'))

Peer review:

Datasets:
  • ensBMAtest - Ensemble BMA Test Data Set
  • prcpDJdata - Precipitation Data
  • prcpFit - BMA Model Fit to Precipitation Data
  • prcpGrid - Gridded Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation
  • prcpTestFit - Ensemble BMA Test Data Set
  • srft - Surface Temperature Ensemble Forecasts and Observations
  • srftGrid - Gridded Surface Temperature Ensemble Forecasts
  • tempTestFit - Ensemble BMA Test Data Set
  • winsTestFit - Ensemble BMA Test Data Set

This package does not link to any Github/Gitlab/R-forge repository. No issue tracker or development information is available.

94 exports 3 stars 0.61 score 1 dependencies 1 dependents 42 scripts 979 downloads

Last updated 2 years agofrom:2bbb7ed69a. Checks:OK: 2. Indexed: yes.

TargetResultDate
Doc / VignettesOKAug 25 2024
R-4.5-linuxOKAug 25 2024

Exports:brierScorebrierScore.ensembleBMAgammabrierScore.ensembleBMAgamma0brierScore.ensembleBMAnormalbrierScore.fitBMAgammabrierScore.fitBMAgamma0brierScore.fitBMAnormalcdfcdf.ensembleBMAgammacdf.ensembleBMAgamma0cdf.ensembleBMAnormalcdf.fitBMAgammacdf.fitBMAgamma0cdf.fitBMAnormalcombinecombine.ensembleBMAgammacombine.ensembleBMAgamma0combine.ensembleBMAnormalcontrolBMAgammacontrolBMAgamma0controlBMAnormalcrpsCRPSCRPS.defaultcrps.ensembleBMAgammacrps.ensembleBMAgamma0crps.ensembleBMAnormalcrps.fitBMAgammacrps.fitBMAgamma0crps.fitBMAnormaldataNAdataNA.ensembleDatadataNobsdataNobs.ensembleDatadataObsLabelsdataObsLabels.ensembleDatadataStartupSpeeddataStartupSpeed.ensembleDatadataVerifObsdataVerifObs.ensembleDatadateCheckensembleBMAensembleBMAgammaensembleBMAgamma0ensembleBMAnormalensembleDataensembleFhourensembleFhour.ensembleDataensembleForecastsensembleForecasts.ensembleDataensembleGroupsensembleGroups.ensembleDataensembleItimeensembleItime.ensembleDataensembleMembersensembleMembers.ensembleDataensembleSizeensembleSize.ensembleDataensembleValidDatesensembleValidDates.ensembleDatafitBMAfitBMAgammafitBMAgamma0fitBMAnormaljulTOymdhMAEMAE.defaultmodelParametersmodelParameters.ensembleBMAgammamodelParameters.ensembleBMAgamma0modelParameters.ensembleBMAnormalmodelParameters.fitBMAgammamodelParameters.fitBMAgamma0modelParameters.fitBMAnormalpitpit.ensembleBMAgammapit.ensembleBMAgamma0pit.ensembleBMAnormalpit.fitBMAgammapit.fitBMAgamma0pit.fitBMAnormalpitHistplotProbcastquantileForecastquantileForecast.ensembleBMAgammaquantileForecast.ensembleBMAgamma0quantileForecast.ensembleBMAnormalquantileForecast.fitBMAgammaquantileForecast.fitBMAgamma0quantileForecast.fitBMAnormaltrainingDataverifPlotverifRankHistymdhTOjul

Dependencies:chron

Readme and manuals

Help Manual

Help pageTopics
Brier ScoresbrierScore brierScore.ensembleBMAgamma brierScore.ensembleBMAgamma0 brierScore.ensembleBMAnormal brierScore.fitBMAgamma brierScore.fitBMAgamma0 brierScore.fitBMAnormal
Cummulative Distribution Function for ensemble forcasting modelscdf cdf.ensembleBMAgamma cdf.ensembleBMAgamma0 cdf.ensembleBMAnormal cdf.fitBMAgamma cdf.fitBMAgamma0 cdf.fitBMAnormal cdfBMAgamma cdfBMAgamma0 cdfBMAnormal
Combine Compatible BMA Modelscombine combine.ensembleBMAgamma combine.ensembleBMAgamma0 combine.ensembleBMAnormal combineCORE
Control parameters for BMA wind speed modelingcontrolBMAgamma
Control parameters for BMA precipitation modelingcontrolBMAgamma0
Control parameters for BMA mixtures of normalscontrolBMAnormal
Continuous Ranked Probability ScoreCRPS crps CRPS.default crps.ensembleBMAbvnormal crps.ensembleBMAgamma crps.ensembleBMAgamma0 crps.ensembleBMAnormal crps.fitBMAbvnormal crps.fitBMAgamma crps.fitBMAgamma0 crps.fitBMAnormal
Checks date format.dateCheck getHH
Ensemble BMA Test Data SetensBMAtest prcpTestFit tempTestFit winsTestFit
BMA mixture model fitensembleBMA getDates getExchangeable match2side matchDates matchEnsembleMembers matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAgamma matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAgamma0 matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAnormal matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAgamma matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAgamma0 matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAnormal modelDates modelDates.default modelMembers modelMembers.default
BMA wind speed modelingensembleBMAgamma [.ensembleBMAgamma
BMA precipitation modelingensembleBMAgamma0 [.ensembleBMAgamma0
BMA mixture of normals modelingcrpsNormal ensembleBMAnormal [.ensembleBMAnormal
Create an ensembleData objectdataNA dataNA.ensembleData dataNobs dataNobs.ensembleData dataObsLabels dataObsLabels.ensembleData dataStartupSpeed dataStartupSpeed.ensembleData dataVerifObs dataVerifObs.ensembleData ensembleData ensembleFhour ensembleFhour.ensembleData ensembleForecasts ensembleForecasts.ensembleData ensembleGroups ensembleGroups.ensembleData ensembleItime ensembleItime.ensembleData ensembleMembers ensembleMembers.ensembleData ensembleSize ensembleSize.ensembleData ensembleValidDates ensembleValidDates.ensembleData matchEnsembleMembers.default matchITandFH matchITandFH.default startupSpeed startupSpeed.ensembleData [.ensembleData
BMA model fit to a training setfitBMA
BMA wind speed model fit to a training setfitBMAgamma inverseLogit
BMA precipitation model fit to a training setfitBMAgamma0
BMA mixture of normals fit to a training setfitBMAnormal
Convert Julian dates to character format.julTOymdh
Mean Absolute ErrorMAE MAE.default
Extract model parametersmodelParameters modelParameters.ensembleBMAgamma modelParameters.ensembleBMAgamma0 modelParameters.ensembleBMAnormal modelParameters.fitBMAgamma modelParameters.fitBMAgamma0 modelParameters.fitBMAnormal
Probability Integral Transform for ensemble forcasting modelspit pit.ensembleBMAgamma pit.ensembleBMAgamma0 pit.ensembleBMAnormal pit.fitBMAgamma pit.fitBMAgamma0 pit.fitBMAnormal
PIT HistogrampitHist
Plot the Predictive Distribution Function for ensemble forcasting modelsplot.ensembleBMA plot.ensembleBMAgamma plot.ensembleBMAgamma0 plot.ensembleBMAnormal plot.fitBMA plot.fitBMAgamma plot.fitBMAgamma0 plot.fitBMAnormal plotBMAgamma plotBMAgamma0 plotBMAnormal
Surface plots for forecast information.binGrid plotProbcast
Precipitation DataprcpDJdata
BMA Model Fit to Precipitation DataprcpFit
Gridded Ensemble Forecasts of PrecipitationprcpGrid
Quantile forecasts at observation locationsquantBMAgamma quantBMAgamma0 quantBMAnormal quantileForecast quantileForecast.ensembleBMAbvnormal quantileForecast.ensembleBMAgamma quantileForecast.ensembleBMAgamma0 quantileForecast.ensembleBMAnormal quantileForecast.fitBMAbvnormal quantileForecast.fitBMAgamma quantileForecast.fitBMAgamma0 quantileForecast.fitBMAnormal
Surface Temperature Ensemble Forecasts and Observationssrft
Gridded Surface Temperature Ensemble ForecastssrftGrid
Extract Training DatatrainingData
Plot observations along with median, 10th and 90th percentile forecasts.verifPlot
Verification Rank and HistogramverifRankHist
Convert to Julian dates.ymdhTOjul