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# CITATION.cff file created with {cffr} R package
# See also: https://docs.ropensci.org/cffr/
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cff-version: 1.2.0
message: 'To cite package "foresightr" in publications use:'
type: software
license: MIT
title: 'foresightr: Forecasts Chosen by What Would Have Worked'
version: 0.1.1
abstract: 'Time series forecasting that replays the past before trusting a model:
  a rolling-origin backtest, Tashman (2000) <https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-2070(00)00065-0>,
  refits every candidate at each origin, the choice is made by out-of-sample error,
  and prediction intervals are quantiles of the errors actually observed, for each
  horizon and for totals of the next periods. Models include seasonal ARIMA by exact
  maximum likelihood with automatic orders, Hyndman and Khandakar (2008) <https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v027.i03>;
  exponential smoothing in state space form, Hyndman, Koehler, Snyder and Grose (2002)
  <https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-2070(01)00110-8>; the Theta method, Assimakopoulos
  and Nikolopoulos (2000) <https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-2070(00)00066-2>; a trend
  with changepoints and events in the manner of Taylor and Letham (2018) <https://doi.org/10.1080/00031305.2017.1380080>;
  TBATS, De Livera, Hyndman and Snyder (2011) <https://doi.org/10.1198/jasa.2011.tm09771>;
  seasonal-trend decompositions by LOESS for one or several seasonal periods, Bandara,
  Hyndman and Bergmeir (2021) <https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2107.13462>; the method
  of Croston (1972) <https://doi.org/10.1057/jors.1972.50> for intermittent demand;
  and ensembles. The computations are done by the ''Rust'' crate ''foresight'', bundled
  with the package.'
authors:
- family-names: Leite
  given-names: André
  email: leite@castlab.org
  orcid: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4718-9766
- family-names: Wasiliew
  given-names: Marcos
  email: marcos.wasiliew@gmail.com
  orcid: https://orcid.org/0009-0004-4694-3159
- family-names: Vasconcelos
  given-names: Hugo
  email: hugo.vasconcelos@ufpe.br
  orcid: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6249-0920
- family-names: Amorim
  given-names: Carlos
  email: carlos.agaf@ufpe.br
  orcid: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6315-8305
- family-names: Bezerra
  given-names: Diogo
  email: diogo.bezerra@ufpe.br
  orcid: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1216-8674
- family-names: Nascimento Barreto
  given-names: Júlia
  email: juliabarreto@gd.seplag.pe.gov.br
  orcid: https://orcid.org/0009-0004-2851-7770
repository: https://cran.r-universe.dev
repository-code: https://github.com/StrategicProjects/foresightr
commit: d9d4565686bc31b56f24039f5f0b79a81ab009c1
url: https://strategicprojects.github.io/foresightr/
date-released: '2026-10-13'
contact:
- family-names: Leite
  given-names: André
  email: leite@castlab.org
  orcid: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4718-9766