--- title: "Run Multiple" author: - Derek Meyer - George Vega Yon date: "`r Sys.Date()`" output: rmarkdown::html_vignette vignette: > %\VignetteIndexEntry{Run Multiple} %\VignetteEngine{knitr::rmarkdown} %\VignetteEncoding{UTF-8} --- ```{r setup, include = FALSE} knitr::opts_chunk$set( collapse = TRUE, comment = "#>", out.width = "80%", fig.width = 7, fig.height = 5, fig.align = "center" ) ``` # Introduction The purpose of the "run_multiple" function is to run a specified number of simulations using the same model object. That is, this function makes it possible to compare model results across several separate and repeated simulations. # Example: Simulating a SEIRCONN Model 50 Times ## Setup and Running Model To use the "run_multiple" function in epiworld, create your epimodel of choice; in this case, the example uses a SEIRCONN model for COVID-19, 100000 people, an initial prevalence of 0.0001 (0.01%), a contact rate of 2, probability of transmission 0.5, a total of 7 incubation days, and probability of recovery $\frac{1}{3}$. ```{r sirconn-setup} library(epiworldR) model_seirconn <- ModelSEIRCONN( name = "COVID-19", n = 10000, prevalence = 0.0001, contact_rate = 2, transmission_rate = 0.5, incubation_days = 7, recovery_rate = 1 / 3 ) ``` ## Generating a Saver Next, generate a saver for the purpose of extracting the "total_hist" and "reproductive" information from the model object. Now, use the "run_multiple" function with the model object, number of desired days to run the simulation, number of simulations to run, and number of threads for parallel computing. ```{r saver-generation} # Generating a saver saver <- make_saver("total_hist", "reproductive") # Running and printing run_multiple(model_seirconn, ndays = 50, nsims = 50, saver = saver, nthreads = 2) ``` Using the "run_multiple_get_results" function, extract the results from the model object that was simulated 50 times for comparison across simulations. ```{r retrieving results} # Retrieving the results ans <- run_multiple_get_results(model_seirconn) head(ans$total_hist) head(ans$reproductive) ``` ## Plotting To plot the epicurves and reproductive numbers over time using boxplots, extract the results from the model object using "run_multiple_get_results". For this example, the dates are filtered to be less than or equal to 20 to observe the epicurves in the first 20 days. Notice each boxplot in the below table represents the observed values from each of the 50 simulations for each date. ```{r plotting seirconn epicurves} seirconn_50 <- run_multiple_get_results(model_seirconn)$total_hist seirconn_50 <- seirconn_50[seirconn_50$date <= 20, ] plot(seirconn_50) ``` To view the a plot of the reproductive number over all 50 days for each of the 50 simulations, store the reproductive results to a new object using "run_multiple_get_results", then plot using the "boxplot" function. Notice each source exposure date displays a boxplot representing the distribution of reproductive numbers across all 50 simulations. As expected, the reproductive number on average, decreases over time. ```{r reproductive number plot} seirconn_50_r <- run_multiple_get_results(model_seirconn)$reproductive plot(seirconn_50_r) # boxplot(rt ~ source_exposure_date, data = seirconn_50_r, # main = "Reproductive Number", # xlab = "Source Exposure Date", # ylab = "rt", # border = "black", # las = 2) ```