--- title: "example_VAR" output: rmarkdown::html_vignette vignette: > %\VignetteIndexEntry{example_VAR} %\VignetteEngine{knitr::rmarkdown} %\VignetteEncoding{UTF-8} --- ```{r, include = FALSE} knitr::opts_chunk$set( collapse = TRUE, comment = "#>" ) ``` ```{r setup} library(changepoints) ``` This is a simple guide for offline change points detection in transition matrix of a VAR1 model. Function _simu.VAR1_ simulates a segment of data from a VAR1 model with fixed transition matrix. We prepare data with change points by combining several such segments with different transition matrices. Dynamic programming and local refinement are implemented for VAR1 change points detection: 1. _DP.VAR1_: performs dynamic programming for VAR1 change points detection. + _CV.search.DP.VAR1_: performs grid search to select tuning parameters (gamma associated with l_0 penalty and lambda associated with l_1 penalty) through cross-validation. 2. _local.refine.VAR1_: performs local refinement for an initial change points estimation. + _local.refine.CV.VAR1_: performs grid search to select the tuning parameter zeta associated with the group lasso penalty through cross-validation. # Simulate data ```{r} ## parameters for simulating data rho = 0.4 #candidate of rho (rho can not be too large so that the time series is stable) p = 20 # dimension sigma = 1 # standard deviation of error terms delta1 = 10 # minimum gap for DP delta.local = 10 # minimum gap for local.refine n = 30 # length for each segment v1 = 2*(seq(1,p,1)%%2) - 1 v2 = -v1 AA = matrix(0, nrow = p, ncol = p-2) A1 = rho * cbind(v1,v2,AA) # transition matrix for the first segment A2 = rho * cbind(v2,v1,AA) # transition matrix for the second segment A3 = A1 # transition matrix for the third segment set.seed(123) # generate data data = simu.VAR1(sigma, p, 2*n+1, A1) data = cbind(data, simu.VAR1(sigma, p, 2*n, A2, vzero=c(data[,ncol(data)]))) data = cbind(data, simu.VAR1(sigma, p, 2*n, A3, vzero=c(data[,ncol(data)]))) cpt_true = c(2*n, 4*n) ``` # Perform dynamic programming ```{r} gamma_set = c(0.1, 0.5, 1, 2, 5) # a set of tuning parameters for DP lambda_set = c(0.1, 0.5, 1, 2, 5) # a set of tuning parameters for lasso DP_result = CV.search.DP.VAR1(data, gamma_set, lambda_set, delta1) # grid search through cross-validation min_idx = as.vector(arrayInd(which.min(DP_result$test_error), dim(DP_result$test_error)))# select gamma achieves the minimum validation error cpt_DP_hat = unlist(DP_result$cpt_hat[min_idx[1], min_idx[2]]) # estimated changepoints by DP cpt_DP_hat Hausdorff.dist(cpt_DP_hat, cpt_true) zeta_set = c(1, 1.5, 2) # tuning parameter for group lasso cpt_DPlr_hat = local.refine.CV.VAR1(cpt_DP_hat, data, zeta_set, delta.local) # perform local refinement cpt_DPlr_hat Hausdorff.dist(cpt_DPlr_hat$cpt_hat, cpt_true) ```